Well the Germans are through and on a positive note at least we can oppose them in the final. They didn't impress in the group games and have done well in the knockout stages but looked in trouble in both of them. Their defence is not all that and goalie errors in both games have helped them. If Spain get through they won't have Casillas punching thin air and presenting open goals.

The question is will Casillas get the chance? Russia have been great and Arshavin has had two fantastic games and all eyes will be on him. Spain wobbled against Italy but have been pretty solid throughout with the lack of height the only real weakness. I live in Spain and would be pleased to see them in the final for the atmosphere it would bring but also have a soft spot for Russia after living there for a year. Either way I'll be happy and looking at the bets the value I like is the winning margin where Russia or Spain winning by 1 as well as a score drap appeals. I'm going with Spain as I think they are the most complete team in the tournament. Their squad is pretty deep especially in midfield and with Torres and Villa have two exceptional forwards. The manager is not the best and makes substitutions for the sake of it it seems. The midfield always gets swapped around and Cesc will be brought on tomorrow for sure between 55-70 minute. Can you bet on that?

++ Winning Margin - Spain to win by 1 goal @ 3.6 on Bet365/Blue Sq/Paddy Power (1pt)