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Friday, May 30
View Article  European Championships Top Goalscorer (Note)
by Admin on Fri 30 May 2008 08:48 AM BST
I have just seen that Pavel Pogrenniak has a knee injury and may miss the tournament. If you were thinking of backing him please don't! I'll keep the bet in for my records though.
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Wednesday, May 28
View Article  European Championships Top Goalscorer
by Admin on Wed 28 May 2008 11:04 PM BST

I will have a few bets for this tournament. Not too many but enough to spark some interest. Might add another ante post bet for the winner but then will concentrate on the matches.

 

Last time round in the European Championships Milan Baros was top goalscorer and I know he was available at 40/1 before the tournament. I always think bookmakers are poor at pricing up this kind of market and just go for the big teams and their players, and often end up with midfielders highly featured.

 

I thought it would be worth doing some analysis. As there aren’t that many European Championships I will incorporate the world cup as well.

 

First up the top goalscorers

 

European Championships :: player – country – goals (finishing position)

2004 – Milan Baros – CzechRepublic – 5 (knocked out in semis)

2000 – Patrick Kluivert – Netherlands – 5 (knocked out in semis)

2000 – Savo Milosevic – Yugoslavia – 5 (knocked out in quarter finals)

1996 – Alan Shearer – England – 5 (knocked out in semi finals)

*

1992 four players managed just 3 goals (need to ignore this)

1988 – Marco Van Basten – Netherlands – 5 (Won)

1984 – Michel Platini – France – 9 (Won)

 

* The games from 1992 were one less and so I think the results are less meaningful

 

World Cup :: player – country – goals (finishing position)

2006 – Miroslav Klose - Germany – 5 (3rd)

2002 – Ronaldo – Brazil – 8 (Won)

1998 – Davor Suker – Croatia – 6 (3rd)

1994 – Hristo Stoichkov – Bulgaria – 6 (4th)

1994 – Oleg Salenko – Russia – 6 (knocked out in quarter finals)

1990 – Salvatore Schillaci – Italy – 6  (3rd)

1986 – Gary Lineker – England – 6 (knocked out in quarter finals)

1982 – Paulo Rossi – Italy – 6 (Won)

 

What does this tell us? Firstly, it looks like there’s very little correlation between winning the tournament and being top goalscorer. You have to go back to 1992 in the Euros to find that and it was a Dane with 3 goals or back to 1982 in the World Cup to find the only player aside from Ronaldo to manage the feat.

 

Quite a few of these players would not have been fancied to achieve what they did so you can look past the favourites.

 

A quick mental note needs to be made that since Mario Kempes in 1978 Ronaldo is the only other non-European to walk away with the top goalscorer.

 

We are left with 13 tournaments to analyse and if we drop 2002 we are left with 12 (13 winners) but all European winners so that makes sense. It’s not a big sample size but players from countries in Eastern Europe have won it 5/13 and players from England, Italy and Netherlands twice.

 

I wanted to look at how players had scored in qualifying but it seemed nigh on impossible to find historical data. So what I could find, mainly thanks to Wikipedia and Eurosport, was how many goals they had scored at club level

 

 

European Championships :: player – team (country) – league goals

2004 – Milan Baros – Liverpool (England) – 1 goal

2000 – Patrick Kluivert – Barcelona (Spain) – 15 goals

2000 – Savo Milosevic – Real Zaragoza (Spain) – 23 goals

1996 – Alan Shearer – Blackburn (England) – 31 goals

1992 four players managed just 3 goals (need to ignore this)

1988 – Marco Van Basten – AC Milan (Italy) – 3 goals

1984 – Michel Platini – Juventus (Italy) – 20 goals

 

World Cup :: player – country – goals (finishing position)

2006 – Miroslav Klose – Werder Bremen (Germany) – 25 goals

2002 – Ronaldo

1998 – Davor Suker – Real Madrid (Spain) – 10 goals

1994 – Hristo Stoichkov – Barcelona (Spain) - unknown

1994 – Oleg Salenko – Logrones (Spain) – 16 goals

1990 – Salvatore Schillaci – Juventus (Italy) - unknown

1986 – Gary Lineker – Everton (England) – 30 goals

1982 – Paulo Rossi – Perugia (Italy) – unknown

 

What does this tell us? Well the main thing is that 9 of the 13 winners played in Italy or Spain and 12 of the 13 in Spain, Italy or England but that really doesn’t narrow it down much. Only English, Italian and German players have won the top goalscorer playing in their home league.

 

It does tell us you don’t need a fantastic season to go on and win it.

 

No one has done it more than once and for that reason I want to drop Klose. Looking at the players above Schillaci came in after a few games, Salenko I don’t know about, but the rest of them were the focal point for their team in terms of goals.

 

I had a bet last week on Pavel Pogrebniak. Although he doesn’t fit the standard profile of playing in the big league, which will be the case for more Russians now with the money they have, he appeals a lot. Top scored in the UEFA cup, bagged twice in Russias last two matches and takes the penalties. His price has come in to 50/1 but I think its still great value.

 

Nihat from Turkey I also like. Plays in Spain and had a great season with Villareal. Scored in bursts and will be the main man for Turkey.

 

Allesandro Del Piero has had a great season in Italy. Talk was he might not even make the squad but he did and with lumpy Luca Toni up front he looks to be a good option for Donadoni. He won’t start but maybe he’ll come on, score and be hard to leave out.

 

SELECTIONS (1/2pt e/w)

Pavel Pogrenniak 50/1 :: 1/2pt e/w (1/4 odds 1st 4) – Ladbrokes/Tote/Blue Sq/Hills

Nihat 66/1 :: 1/2pt e/w (1/4 odds 1st 4) – most bookmakers including Bet365

Del Piero 66/1 :: 1/2pt e/w (1/4 odds 1st 4) – Blue Sq

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Monday, May 19
View Article  Round Up (Week 30)
by Admin on Mon 19 May 2008 10:59 AM BST

The last weekend of the season and ended it with a very small profit. Would have been nice to go out with a bang but the a profit is a profit and its these small weekends that have no loss that play a big part.

There are a few games in Scotland this week as their season draws to a close but I won't be looking at them and will draw a line under the season now. This means +22.6 points profit and as 180.5 points were staked a 12.5% return on investment (ROI). I'm very pleased with that and will be back next season for a repeat and hopefully improve. It has all been a learning experience as I have never done anything like this before. Essentially I built this site for myself to use as the stats are how I want to see them and am pleased it has worked out positively.

In less than 3 months the season will be kicking off again and in the meantime there's the European Championships. I don't have stats for that but might put up some comments on certain markets like Top Goalscorer to keep the blog active. Also at some stage I will have examples components of the site for next year ready and would appreciate peoples thoughts on them as and when they are completed. If anyone would be happy to test them for me please email mail@simplesoccerstats.com.

That leaves me just to thank everyone for support throughout the season. Comments and e-mails were all gratefully received and nice to know people have been tuning in. Enjoy the summer and please check back every now and then.

SSS Tips
Toulouse did win but not by 1-0 so that was a loser. They won 2-1 and avoided the drop but I wouldn't have picked that score. Real Mallorca did beat Real Zaragoza who were relegated. They won 3-2 and I think I called that pretty well as Mallorca did get a breakaway goal late on as Zaragoza pushed for an equaliser but personally was let down by them scoring in stoppage time to make it 3-2.

Bets 196 Wins 86 (plus 14 void and 6 void/lost), Points 180.5 staked Profit +22.6

Spinner Rinse
Goodbye and good riddance to the rinse as it found 3 winners, 1 draw and 1 loss and wouldn't have deserved a last gasp reprieve.

Accumulators 30, Winners 2, Profit -22.49

NOTES

All results are in for the weekend. There are 4 midweek games in Scotland which wrap up their season and I'll update them after the final game.

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Friday, May 16
View Article  Week 30 Bets (17.05.08)
by Admin on Fri 16 May 2008 02:33 PM BST

The last set of games that feature in the Simple Soccer Stats console brings an end to this blog. At the start of this season when I launched the site this did not feature in my plans but a few people said it might enhance the site and I confess to having enjoyed doing it. A respectable points total has been achieved and a lot of lessons learnt.

I spent a large part of Thursday morning in a hospital canteen scribbling out plans for upgrades over the summer and have grand plans for next season. I want to push the site on and make huge improvements and just get way ahead of every other stats site. I keep repeating this but if you have any comments on anything you like or don’t like or would like to see it is always appreciated and I can be e-mailed on mail@simplesoccerstats.com.

I was in the hospital canteen as my wife was being checked over as we have a baby due on Tuesday. I think it has kindly decided to wait until after the football season and I should be ok with my final updates on Monday!

Enough of that though. Very hard to find games this weekend. Italy is interesting as the top 2 both play teams in the relegation dogfight who need to win so that’s 4 teams for whom a draw is no good. I can’t bring myself to bet on Italy at this time of year as the results last season were so bizarre it almost looks fixed. France has some very interesting battles with one champions league place up for grabs as well as a UEFA cup spot. Spain just has one EUFA cup spot in the balance as well as 4 teams who could be the final team to relegated.

SSS Tips

Just two bets this weekend

Toulouse v Valenciennes (france – sat 8:50pm local time)

It’s a correct score bet here. Toulouse are out the relegation zone on goal difference and need a win here to be safe. If you like goals don’t go to Toulouse as 16/18 home games have been under 2.5 goals which is enormous. On 1st September they scored 2 goals against Auxerre and in the remaining 17 have scored once ten times and not scored 7 times. I think they’ll score on Saturday, as Valenciennes have kept a clean sheet in just 4/17 away games, so 1 goal seems the obvious choice. Valenciennes have scored just 8 goals away this season and just 3 in the last 12 away games. Toulouse have leaked a few recently but 1-0 looks a good option in a tight nervy game. 1-1 was the only other score I wanted to cover but I’m prepared to risk it all on 1-0.
++ Correct Score – 1-0 @ 6.5 on Bet365/VC/Boyles (1pt)

Real Mallorca v Real Zaragoza (spain – sun 9pm local time)

Last weekend both these teams featured and Mallorca landed a bet whilst we went against Zaragoza in a bet that was voided. This is the game in Spain this weekend. With Racing Santander facing a tough game at home against Osasuna who are in relegation trouble Real Mallorca know a win could see them steal the last UEFA cup spot. Zaragoza on the other hand know a loss relegates them, a draw may too and only a win makes them safe. There must be goals and the quotes of both teams to score being around 1.45 show the bookies believe this too. Zaragoza have surprised me of late beating Deportivo and getting a draw with Real Madrid last weekend but they were at home in both those games and, as I said last week, their strikers could not hit a cows arse with a banjo. Away from home they have been dire and have won just once all season back in October losing 6 of the last 8. They have scored just 12 goals on their travels and more than one goal just once. Mallorca are on fire and with just 2 losses in the last 19 games and 5 wins on the bounce including the 3-2 (from 2-0 down) win in CampNou last weekend. They have won 3-2, 2-1, 2-1, 3-1 and 4-1 in the last 5 games and only not scored once in the last 19 games. Guiza looks like he’ll take the Pichichi (top goalscorer) this season but might just want to make sure with a goal. I could see Mallorca being ahead and Zaragoza pushing and getting caught out and losing by a few. Paddy Power offer 7 on Mallorca to win by 2 but I wonder if they might even get more as they have scored 7 at home in one game this season. For this though I’ll play safe and take them in the AH with a half stake return on the draw.
++ Asian Handicap – Real Mallorca (0, -0.5) @ 2.13 on Bet365 (1pt)

2 points staked

Spinner Rinse

With the rinse being down over 20 points we just have to go for it. Marseille to beat Strasbourg in France, Stuttgart to beat Bielefled and Schalke to win at Nurnburg in Germany, as well as Cagliari to beat Reggina in Italy and Mallorca to beat Zaragoza in Spain.
++ Five-fold accumulator @ 24.65 on Bet365.

NOTES

All games will be updated on Monday morning and a season summary.
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Monday, May 12
View Article  Round Up (Week 29)
by Admin on Mon 12 May 2008 09:09 AM BST

No losers this weekend and we have firmly pushed past the 20 point barrier and reached an all time season high.

I will not be doing anything on the playoffs in England as I think they are too tough to call. All the other European Leagues will wrap up next week so there will be one more round of games to take a look at at and maybe find the odd bet.

SSS Tips
Lille did the business on Saturday beating Lens 2-1 and then on Sunday we had a winner and a void bet in Spain. Madrid led 2-1 at Zaragoza but a late goal from defender Sergio gave Zaragoza the draw and as their forwards couldn't hit a cows arse with a banjo it was needed. Barcelona led 2-0 with no smiles after scoring before Mallorca scored 3 goals, including a last minuted Guiza winner, to take an amazing victory and another blow for Barcelona. I feel a bit sorry for Rijkaard to go out as he did but they are in trouble and will be interesting to see what happens in the summer. Alves and Poulsen from Sevilla is the rumour but it will be interesting to see how Guardiola does considering he has manged just 30 or so games in the lower divisions with Barcelona reserves.

Bets 194 Wins 85 (plus 14 void and 6 void/lost), Points 178.5 staked Profit +22.47

Spinner Rinse
3 winners, 1 draw and 1 loss. One more week before the rinse rests in peace..

Accumulators 29, Winners 1, Profit -21.49

NOTES

All results are in for the weekend. just one midweek game in Scotland and then I'll add the Scotish and Spanish weekend refs after that. Last weekend next weekend and I'll outline plans for the summer and the new season.

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Saturday, May 10
View Article  Week 29 Bets (10.05.08) No more bets
by Admin on Sat 10 May 2008 10:49 PM BST

SSS Tips

The corner prices are greatly restricted as a result of some games being meaningless. I can't come up with anything else so will stick to the bets we have and happy to report the first is a winner already as Lille won 2-1.

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View Article  Week 29 Bets (10.05.08) Part II
by Admin on Sat 10 May 2008 12:21 PM BST

SSS Tips

I am still waiting on corner prices to come out before looking for corner bets. Thought I may as well post these two up in the meantime.

Last week I mentioned that I am revamping the site for next season. If you have any comments on anything you like or don’t like or would like to see it is always appreciated and I can be e-mailed on mail@simplesoccerstats.com. Any other leagues you would like to see?

Already advised in Fridays posts.

Lille v Lens (france – sat 8:45pm local time)

++ Win Market - Lille @ 2.3 on Bet365/Expekt (1pt)

Additional bets for Sunday.

Barcelona v Real Mallorca (spain – sun 9pm local time)

Barcelona have endured a terrible season and lately the wheels have come off. They have taken just 10 points of a possible 30 and in midweek took a pasting from Real Madrid. Xavi was sent off at the end so will be missing and no-one looks to be on form. Rijkaard is packing up his hair grease and leaving at the end of the season to be replaced by Pep Guardiola and who knows if this last home game will go out with a bang. The last game at they beat Valencia 6-0 but they have only won once aside from that in 11 games and just once in the last 4 at home. Goals have been a problem for them at home since they lost 1-0 to Real Madrid back in December. In 2008 they have won 4-0, 5-1 and 6-0 at home but in the other 5 games have scored just 3 goals. Mallorca come knowing a win could put them in the top 6 as Racing have a tough local derby at Bilbao and Mallorca have been on form lately with 4 wins in a row and just 2 defeats in the 18 games they have played in 2008. Just one defeat in the last 9 away games including a win at Bilbao last time, where Barça could only draw. Up front David Guiza has scored an amazing 25 goals this season (none from the penalty spot) and Mallorca have scored more than any other team away from home. The choice is what bet to go for and with the Mallorca +1 such low odds (1.83) and the risky win a best priced 6.5 I think either draw no bet or double chance to be the best bet and will go with double chance.
++ Double Chance – Mallorca-Draw @ 2.32 on Ladbrokes (1pt)

Real Zaragoza v Real Madrid (spain – sun 9pm local time)

Real Madrid have been crowned as champions and, although not as great to watch as they promised, have looked worthy winners in the last few weeks. The defeat of Barcelona in midweek was mighty impressive and with even the defence looks strong, although it does help having such a fantastic goalie, the worlds best in my opinion. Gago and Schneider have shined in midfield and are both young and all bodes well for the future. With Raul scoring, Robben having an injury free run, Robinho as a backup and Van Nistelrooy back from injury they should not be such big odds against Zaragoza. I know Zaragoza need to win to to save themselves from relegation but with 2 wins in 9 they don’t look like worthy favourites in this game. They dominated Deportivo in the last game only scoring in the last minute after a goalie error and the strikers are not firing. Madrid have won 10 of their 18 away games and come into the game on the back of 5 straight wins. Maybe some players will be rested but there’s enough depth for it not to matter that much. I just can’t see Madrid losing here and the 3.8 for the win from Bet365 is so tempting but a safer bet is draw no bet and the price looks to be drifting.
++ Draw No Bet – Real Madrid @ 2.63 on Paddy Power (1pt)

2 points staked to add to the 1 yesterday (3 so far). Maybe more to follow.

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Friday, May 9
View Article  Week 29 Bets (10.05.08) Part I
by Admin on Fri 09 May 2008 02:28 PM BST

SSS Tips

The league season finishes in England this weekend and nice to see it coming down to the wire. Looking at Wigan’s form of late United have a tough game and there might be a few players trying to show what they can do. Bookies have United as very short odds on.

As the games in England, Italy and Spain are being played on Sunday there is not enough information available so will do this in two parts. On Saturday games in France, Germany and Scotland are being played so will concentrate on those first. Well, it’s actually just France for the bet but the others appear in the rinse. With luck corner odds etc will be out tonight and I can get the rest of the bets done then, if not then Saturday morning.

It’s a hard weekend to choose games as there are teams with nothing to play for, but I’m pretty sure that I read that it actually makes little difference to the outcome if a team has to win or not.

Last week I mentioned that I am revamping the site for next season. If you have any comments on anything you like or don’t like or would like to see it is always appreciated and I can be e-mailed on mail@simplesoccerstats.com. Any other leagues you would like to see?

Standard bets for Satuday.

Lille v Lens (france – sat 8:45pm local time)

The final relegation spot in France looks to be between Lens, PSG and Toulouse and all 3 have tough games. Lens are struggling having taken just 7 points from the last 30 and have just 1 win in the last 13 games and away from home have lost 5 of the last 6. Lille drew away at St Etienne last weekend who are their main rivals for the final UEFA cup spot. "The minimum was to take a point, which is what we did," Lille coach Claude Puel said. "Now we need to take maximum points in our last two games, even though Saint-Etienne has the cards in hand." Not my translation! This shows the game is important for them and with 21 of a possible 30 from the last 10 games only Bordeaux have a better form record. They have won 4 of the last 6 at home and in the last 10 games at home when they scored they won all but one. As Lens have managed just 2 away clean sheets all season you would imagine that to happen and hopefully they can then go on to win.
++ Win Market Lille @ 2.3 on Bet365/Expekt (1pt)

1 point staked so far. More to follow.

Spinner Rinse

This week I was tempted just to flush my money down the toilet rather than bet the rinse but with the odds stacked against me have plucked for Rangers to beat Dundee United, Hearts to beat Kilmarnock (both Scotland), Werder Bremen to beat Hannover (Germany), Juventus to beat Catania (Italy) and Villareal to beat Espanyol (Spain)  .
++ Five-fold accumulator @ 8.04 on Bet365.

NOTES

Further bets to follow and all games will be updated on Monday morning.

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Monday, May 5
View Article  Round Up (Week 28)
by Admin on Mon 05 May 2008 09:33 AM BST

The most tiny profit this weekend. Got a few games wrong and the corner bets let us down but we move 0.05 points closer to the 20 mark.

Only the Premier League in England now still has league matches as the playoffs begin in the other divisions. Real Madrid sealed the title in Spain and play Barcelona this Wednesday when Barcelona will be forced to give them a guard of honour as they come onto the pitch which will be worth watching.

SSS Tips
Middlesboro beat Portsmouth 7-5 on corners so the bet was half win half void, but Man City managed 3 corners in the last 10 minutes and wracked up 5 at Anfield scuppering that bet. St Etienne kept another clean sheet drawing 0-0 with Lille but Rochdale let us down only drawing with Shrewsbury. Nancy won comfortably 3-0 beating the handicap but Deportivo lost 1-0 to a last minute goal which was fully derserved for Zaragoza.

Bets 191 Wins 1 (plus 6 void and 83 void/lost), Points 175.5 staked Profit +19.86

Spinner Rinse
The joke that is the spinner rinse was a loser thanks to Rochdale drawing but the other 3 won.

Accumulators 28, Winners 1, Profit -12049

NOTES

All results are updated and there is a full midweek program in Spain that I will take a look at.
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Friday, May 2
View Article  Week 28 Bets (02.05.08)
by Admin on Fri 02 May 2008 06:20 PM BST

SSS Tips

Less choice this weekend and will be even less next time round as it’s the last round of games in the English leagues except for the Premier.

Last weekend was a good one and hopefully we can add a few more points this weekend and until the end of the season and get past that 20 point barrier.

Most of the main leagues are close to being decided this weekend but still some interesting games like the Milan derby.

Last week I mentioned that I am revamping the site for next season. If you have any comments on anything you like or don’t like or would like to see it is always appreciated and I can be e-mailed on mail@simplesoccerstats.com. Any other leagues you would like to see?

This week there are two corner bets as I really liked what I found..

Middlesboro v Portsmouth (eng prem – sat 3pm local time)

This bet really stands out. The handicap is low considering you have a team with the equal highest home corners outside of the big 4 against the team that averages the lowest amount of corners in the league away. I have excluded big 4 games in the anaysis for both teams and for Boro at the Riverside you end up with 7.6 corners and a supremacy of 3.4 over their opponents. For Pompey away they average 3.8 corners and the supremacy is around 2.3. A 2 corner supremacy will return a winner here and the 7.6 Boro average less the 3.8 Pompey one is 3.8 so we should be in. It would have been a winner in 10/13 Boro home games and and 9/14 Pompey away games and 7of the last 8.
++ ++ Asian Handicap Corners - Middlesborough -1.5, -2 @ 1.9 on Bet365 (1pt)

Liverpool V Man City (eng prem – sun 4pm local time)

This is an easy one. ManCity have the 5th lowest corner average in the league and travel to Anfield for the live fixture. Liverpool allow their opponents a stagerringly low 2.5 corners on average and in 18 games this season only Everton, Newcastle and Bolton have managed to have over 3 corners. Therefore with Paddy Power offering 2.3 on ManCity to have less than 4 corners it just has to be taken.
++ Team Corners - ManCity Under 4 Corners @ 2.3 on Paddy Power (1pt)

Just one different style bet this season but one that has been a winner before.

St Etienne v Lille (france – sun 6pm local time)

I don’t know what St Etienne play like but their home record still amazes me. In 17 games they have conceded just 4 goals, which would give odds of 1.31 if they could keep it up. In the last 6 home matches they have let in just one goal and Lille are the visitors who sit one place below them in 6th. Lille scored 3 away at Marseille last game which is no mean achievement but before that had scored just 4 goals in the previous 11 away games.
++ Away Team To Score –No @ 2.55 on Sporting Bet (1pt)

Now the standard fare

Rochdale v Shrewsbury (eng lge 2 – sat 3pm local time)

Rochdale are in the playoffs and their manager has been talking about how they are ready to step up a division. He also asked the supporters to turn up on Saturday for a celebration and hopefully that means they will be there to win. Rochdale have won 7 on the bounce at home and an 8th would send them into the playoffs with a formidable home record and they have only lost once in the last 10 matches. Shrewsbury travel a few players light as they have been released and only rock bottom Wrexham have a worse away record. Shrewsbury have won just once in the last 18 matches and away from you have to go back 12 games to find their last win. The price is odds on but looking at the form it should be much much shorter and if it wasn’t the last day of the season I’d up this to 2 points.
++ Win Market – Rochdale @ 1.73 (1pt) on Bet365 (was 1.8 on Bet365 and is still 1.75 on Sporting Odds)

Nancy v Strasbourg (france – sat 8pm local time)

Both teams have something to play for here but at different ends of the table. Nancy lie in 4th just one point behind Marseille for the all important 3rd champions league slot. Nancy are the only team in the league unbeaten at home this season and have won 12 of the 17 games there and 5 of the last 6. Strasbourg are in the drop zone 3 points from safety and have taken lost the last 8 games straight and this looks a tough one for them and the prices agree. Looking for an angle I noticed that Strasbourg started the season well away from home but in the last 11 games have conceded 23 goals and with Nancy never conceding more than 1 goal at home it could be expected they will win by more than 1 goal. Therefore I’ll plump for the AH Nancy -1 as I think Nancy should win and if it goes to form we could see a margin of victory greater than 1 and a winning bet but a win for Nancy guarantees no loss.
++ Asian Handicap – Nancy - 1 @ 2.05 on Bet365 (1pt)

Real Zaragoza v Deportivo La Coruña (spain – sat 10pm local time)

I’m cheating here and adding what I wrote last week. The transformation from Depor has been amazing this season. In Spain they refer to the season being in two halves and for Deportivo they managed 24 points in their first 24 matches and were in relegation trouble but in the last 10 games they have accumulated 25 points and have the best record in La Liga over the last 10 games. Xisco has been banging in the goals and they have won 5 games in a row. I would think they are the team no-one wants to play and are amazingly in with an outside chance of a place in Europe. Zaragoza are in the drop zone and have been rubbish this season, although their home form has been quite solid. However, with just 1 win in the last 7 and 2 in the last 12 their current form is not good and the only win in the last 7 was against Recreativo in a 6 pointer when they scored very early and played against 10 men for half the game. The pressure is all on Zaragoza and their fans may get on their backs in things go badly. I looked at draw no bet, Depor 0, +0.5 on the AH but really the 4 that is on offer for the win is too much. I can’t resist that.
++ Win Market – Deportivo @ 3.75 on Stan James/Bet Direct (1pt)

6 points bet in total.

Spinner Rinse

We live in hope. Leeds to beat Gillingham (lge 1), Hereford to beat Grimsby and Rochdale to beat Shrewsbury (lge 2) and Nancy to beat Strasbourg (france).
++ Four-fold accumulator @ 8.66 on Bet365.

NOTES

All games will be updated on Monday morning.
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