by
Admin
on Sat 08 Nov 2008 12:24 AM GMT |
Permanent Link
|
Cosmos
It’s the 1st round of the FA cup in England and a few other leagues have the cup so there are less games to look at. Big clash between Arsenal and Man Utd on Saturday and I think Arsenal are overpriced despite all their troubles. We shall see
Liverpool v West Brom (English Premiership: Sat 5:30pm Local Time)
As this is a live game the number of markets increases but there is one fact that I think is vital and that is Liverpool do not concede many corners at Anfield. They are tighter than anyone and this season average 2.6 opponent corners at Anfield with Man United the only team to have more than 3. If we look at last season they averaged 2.6 opponent corners and in 19 games only 4 opponents managed to get more than 3 corners. Paddy Power offer evens on West Brom having less than 4 corners and taking last season and this seasons games we have 19/24 matches where the away team has managed less than 4 corners and that equates to odds of 1.26. It has to be bet! All the spread markets are available and if you do bet on that please click on my Sporting Index banner but they have markets like X-corners which multiplies the West Brom andLiverpool corners. I could see this being something like 1x7 or even 3x10 at the other end of the scale and with their line at 30-33 I think this is interesting.
++ Number of Team Corners – West Brom under 4 @ 2 on Paddy Power (1pt)
Blackpool v Ipswich (English Championship: Saturday 3pm Local Time)
A sort of novelty bet this one. Both teams have identical records in W5, D6, L4 but even Blackpool at home and Ipswich away records are identical in W2, D3, L2. So 6/14 of those games were draws which is odds of 2.33 and in 10/14 of those games both teams have scored. It just looks like a score draw to me. If we take all their games this season 1 in 3 have been score draws, so I’ll risk half a point.
++ Winning Margin – Score Draw @ 4.5 on Bet365 (½pt)
Genoa v Reggina (Serie A: Sunday 3pm)
The team with the best home record (5/5 wins) plays the team with the worst away record (5/5 defeats). The win price is low so I looked at the Asian handicap, number of goals scored etc but looking at these 10 games Genoa were winning at HT and FT 3/5 times and Reggina were losing at HT and FT 3/5. This gives us 6/10 which should be odds of 1.67 but Skybet offer a crazy 2.5, with VC and Canbet offering 2.4 and Paddy Power 2.375.
++ HT/FT – Home/Home @ 2.5 on Skybet (1pt)
Barcelona v Valladolid (La Liga: Saturday 10pm)
This is the late night live game in Spain and Barcelona have been on fire recently. They have won me over as you can’t help but admire the way they have destroyed teams. Eto’o is back to his best and that has been a real key for them. He’s a true winner and the kind of player you love to have in your team as he never stops. Barcelona have won 7 straight in the league with the last 4 results being 4-1, 5-0, 1-0 and 6-1. Last season they won this fixture 4-1 and I really think Valladolid with have no answer for them. If we take Barcelona on the AH at -2 this bet is a loser if they don’t win or only win by 1 goal. The way they have been playing I just can’t see that.
++ Asian Handicap – Barcelona (-2) @ 2.05 on Bet365 (1pt)
3½ points staked on the weekend.